US recession this year

Descriptive read of the odds prediction markets assign to a US recession being declared this year, aggregated across public prediction markets.

What prediction markets are pricing

Right now Polymarket prices the odds prediction markets assign to a US recession being declared this year at 12%, while Manifold has it at 12%.

Polymarket US recession by end of 2026?12%Manifold US recession in 2026?12%

Prices from public prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold). Not advice, not a Janira product; these are independent third-party platforms.

Other predictions

Next Fed rate decisionWorld Cup winnerBitcoin above $150k this year

Janira aggregates public prediction-market prices for descriptive purposes only. It is not affiliated with Polymarket, Kalshi or Manifold, does not facilitate trading or betting on these platforms, and this is not financial or betting advice.